Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.960112 1.095877 1.243805 1.416936 1.614010 1.831368 2.089321
2025-02-16 0.758128 0.945039 1.166892 1.449584 1.800279 2.221192 2.765100
2025-02-23 0.624060 0.825830 1.079620 1.422185 1.872638 2.445086 3.228633
2025-03-02 0.533932 0.742309 1.017258 1.406453 1.943393 2.658650 3.685206
2025-03-09 0.471816 0.684694 0.977501 1.409445 2.030716 2.892799 4.182017
2025-03-16 0.422109 0.636600 0.942834 1.411630 2.111570 3.119007 4.682136
2025-03-23 0.385150 0.601678 0.921537 1.428057 2.210578 3.375141 5.243887
2025-03-30 0.342163 0.552323 0.872772 1.396461 2.231581 3.513598 5.636125
2025-04-06 0.306149 0.509598 0.829167 1.367055 2.250684 3.647151 6.027797
2025-04-13 0.271491 0.465228 0.778210 1.319915 2.235159 3.721837 6.327300
2025-04-20 0.264754 0.466250 0.800475 1.394324 2.424498 4.141568 7.229953
2025-04-27 0.257241 0.464990 0.818382 1.462204 2.607541 4.564075 8.171376
2025-05-04 0.246816 0.458141 0.826942 1.516159 2.774025 4.977125 9.142478
2025-05-11 0.232604 0.443134 0.819888 1.541746 2.892613 5.317163 10.015478
2025-05-18 0.212164 0.414471 0.785386 1.513373 2.909047 5.473791 10.563212
2025-05-25 0.195484 0.391237 0.758615 1.496576 2.944700 5.666930 11.193782
2025-06-01 0.183000 0.374891 0.743208 1.499764 3.018032 5.935162 11.989462
2025-06-08 0.171574 0.359518 0.728202 1.502088 3.089226 6.203891 12.807380
2025-06-15 0.162814 0.348716 0.721178 1.519561 3.191749 6.541243 13.790640
2025-06-22 0.149543 0.327240 0.690699 1.485952 3.186240 6.660996 14.334896
2025-06-29 0.137727 0.307751 0.662590 1.454673 3.182486 6.783093 14.892784
2025-07-06 0.125267 0.285698 0.627182 1.404529 3.133796 6.806899 15.240477
2025-07-13 0.124981 0.290680 0.650083 1.483679 3.373168 7.460459 17.018967